Temple University

Department of Economics

Economics 615 Econometrics I

Fall 2002


Speakman Room 213

Monday 4:40 PM - 7:25 PM

Information for an electronic age:

Send me email: Andrew J. Buck

Call me: 215-204-1985
FAX me: 215-204-8173
 

Visit me:

813 Ritter Annex
Monday, 3 - 4:30 PM

Texts and other materials:

Required:  The following two items are required.  There will be no exceptions!

a. Econometric Analysis, 4th Ed., William H. Greene, Prentice-Hall, 2000.
  This book is the most widely used text in U..S. grad programs.  It will challenge you every step of the way, but it is well worth the investment in time and money.  The fourth edition is not much changed from the third.  However, the fourth edition has a CD with the data sets from the text and an abbreviated version of LIMDEP, Greene's statistical software package.  BUY THE 4TH EDITION.

b. MathCAD symbolic computer algebra program by MathSoft.  I will make arrangements for you to get this at a student price.  Of course you will need access to a machine with enough horsepower to operate this software. 

Optional (If you can find a copy):

Basic Econometrics, 3rd Ed. or more recent, Damodar Gujarati, McGraw-Hill, 1995.
  Gujarati's book is a nice undergraduate treatment of econometrics. It is short on theory and has many numerical examples; as such it makes good background reading for Greene.

Electronic Texts:

The syllabus has many links to the lecture notes which I have written over the years. The lecture notes are meant to be read along with the text for the course. In addition I have links to a set of lecture notes prepared by Douglas J. Miller (Ph.D., Berkeley, 1994), Assistant Professor of Economics, Iowa State University. His excellent lecture notes are more advanced than my own.

There is an index to other course notes available online.  The files are predominantly in *.pdf and so your computer is nothing more than an electronic page turner.

Links to some graphic JAVA applets to aid your understanding. 

Rules of the Game: Attendance is at your discretion, but I have not met anyone who can do well in graduate school without a near religious commitment to the course of study. You should read the assignments before coming to class. This applies even if you feel that we are way behind schedule or that you are better prepared than the other students in the class. As in all of your classes, the subject is cumulative. Sometimes an earlier discussion will become clearer by having read material which comes after it. Our time in class is brief. To make the most of that class time you should write out your questions and bring them with you; you should quiz yourself on what you have read; you should get together in study groups and quiz one another. If you haven't already heard, this class is demanding.  Come to class prepared and don't fall behind.  You can read some more about where we are headed with 615 and 616.


Course Grade Determination:

Homework 25%
Midterm 25%
Final 25%
Paper 25%

Homework: To discourage late homework, it is accepted at only 50% of the lowest score earned by those who turned it in on time.  The PhD is a research degree.  When you are done you are certified as having the ability to conceptualize, research and solve problems in economics.  The practical consequence of this is that you may have to do some research in order to do your homework.  The homework is a mix of assignments from similar courses offered at other universities and from past versions of Econ 615.  This should give you some idea of what your peers are doing around the world.

Paper: You will note in the syllabus that there are some interim products which must be produced as part of your research paper. If you do not submit the interim products then I will not accept the paper.  You must turn in a diskette with your data and regression programs. A late paper will automatically receive a grade no higher than a 90%.

Exams: The midterm will cover all material to that point.  It is mandatory. The final is cumulative and mandatory. Only a note from a medical doctor will be accepted for missing an exam. The date for the final is included in the syllabus, make your travel plans accordingly.

Syllabus: The following table will provide you with a schedule for homework, reading and exams. Econometrics is not the sort of subject that can be left for a last minute cram. It takes a continuous level of effort.

Date Topic Reading Homework
Sept 9 Descriptive Statistics and Probability Greene, Chap 3  
Sept 16 Random Variables and Distributions Greene, Chap 3 Hwk 1: Descriptive Stats and Probability

Answer Key

Paper Title

Sept 23 Sampling Distributions and Estimation Greene, Chap 4 Hwk 2: Random Variables; Key

Paper Abstract-- Statement of Problem

Sept 30 Hypothesis Testing, Small Sample and Large Sample Greene, Chap 4, Miller L15 Hwk 3: Sampling

Key

Oct 7 Analysis of Variance    
Oct 14 Simple Regression, MVNB: Simple Regression   Hwk 4: ANOVA

Key

October 21 Exam

Mid-term Exam and Answer Key from 1999.

Exam and Key for Fall 2001

  Hwk 5: Simple Regression

Key

October 28 Matrix Algebra Greene, Chap 2  Annotated Bibliography
November 4 Multiple Regression: OLS, RLS and their Properties, An Application Greene, Chap 6; Miller L1, L2, L3 Hwk 6: Linear Algebra 

Key

November 11 Multiple Regression: Gauss-Markov and GLS Greene, Chap 6 Hwk 7: Printing of Classical Music 

Key

November 18 Hypothesis Testing:t-tests, F-tests, large sample tests Greene, Chap 7; Miller L9, L16, L17 Detailed Outline
November 25 Data Problems: Misspecification, Missing Data, Multicollinearity Greene, Chap 9; MillerL8 Hwk 8: Bread and Meat (Data) and Hints

Key

December 2 Heteroscedasticity Greene, Chap 12 Hwk 9: Almon Specification (Data) or Data
December 9 Autocorrelation Greene, Chap 13 Hwk 10: Heteroscedasticity (Data)
December 16 Final Exam

Fall 1998
Fall 1999

Key Fall 2001

  Hwk 11: Autocorrelation
(Data)

Paper

To get the set of MathCAD documents I have been using in class click for the self-extracting file.


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